← LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament
Fire Umbra CielTier 2
at LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament
decks
1
(1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.0%
avg ELO -10.1 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1141
· median 1141
· range 1141–1141
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1152
Q3 1279
1571
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
